Category Archives: independent events

How can the “Gambler’s Fallacy” help penalty takers score?

Nooooo, Ashley Cole!

The World Cup might be over, but researchers from University College, London, are still sifting through video data in an effort to understand goalkeepers’ behavior during penalty shoot-outs.

After analysing spot kicks from World Cups and European Championships between 1976 and 2012, researchers discovered that goalkeepers were falling prey to a form of “gambler’s fallacy”–an enduring psychological mistake involoving random events thatĀ seems to have plagued human thinking for time immemorial. Continue reading